
Elon Musk has claimed that SpaceX will handle approximately 90% of the world's payload mass launched to orbit in 2025, a projection based on the company's dominant market position and reusable rocket technology.
Musk shared a chart showing SpaceX already accounted for over 90% of global payload mass in the second quarter, driven primarily by Falcon 9 launches. In response to a post that stated that "SpaceX is essentially the US space program," Musk stated, "SpaceX will carry 90% of the world's payload mass to space this year, so it is pretty much Earth's space program."
SpaceX's commanding lead was shown in a chart that Musk shared showing quarterly launch attempts since 2020. China's rising but significantly smaller black bars and SpaceX's dominance over US non-SpaceX providers are depicted in the visualization, demonstrating SpaceX's de facto monopoly on American space access. A separate post asserted that "China would have outlaunched the US for years without SpaceX."
Google CEO Sundar Pichai's response
Google CEO Sundar Pichai responded to Musk's announcement with "Incredible to see!!" Musk responded with an emoji heart. This is not the first time that both these tech CEOs have appreciated each other. Earlier this year, Pichai gave "a sense of progress" in earnings call. Musk quickly noticed his post, and he responded with the phrase "Impressive."
SpaceX's dominance is primarily driven by its reusable Falcon 9 rocket technology, which enables cost-effective, high-cadence launches. When compared to conventional expendable rockets, this strategy has altered launch economics, enabling SpaceX to fly more frequently at a lower cost per mission.
In the meantime, Falcon 9 has successfully completed a double launch day. "Falcon 9 completes a double-header launch day, taking 56 @Starlink satellites to orbit from Florida and California," SpaceX stated in a tweet that was reposted by Musk.
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